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Costa Rica May Step Up Currency ‘Interventions,’ New Central Bank President Says

Costa Rica's new president of the Central Bank told Bloomberg news that the bank may intervene more frequently in the foreign-exchange market to reduce swings in the currency.

The comments made by Rodrigo Bolaños to Bloomberg reinforce his comments made earlier this week that her would be moving away from the Banco Central de Costa Rica (BCCR) policy of exchange bands to a floating exchange rate. (See story http://www.insidecostarica.com/dailynews/2010/june/16/costarica10061601.htm).

“We’re looking at the possibility of interventions,” Bolaños, 59, told Bloomberg phone interview from San José. “We would want to smooth fluctuations from one day to the next.”

Bolaños takes over from Francisco de Paula Gutiérrez who is retiring as the Central Bank after seven years of leading the monetary policies of the country, During the Gutiérrez management  he changed the exchange-rate regime from a 23 year-old system of “mini-devaluations” in 2006.

Costa Rica’s colon has surged 6.9% this year against the U.S. dollar, the second-best performance in the world after the Colombian peso, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It is trading at ¢525.10 for the buy and ¢535.21 for sell, today.

The colon floats within a “crawling band” set by the central bank to maintain a stable currency and help keep inflation in check. The bank hasn’t bought or sold dollars to intervene since August 2009.

Bolaños, who has a doctorate in economics from the University of Chicago, said he wants to move the Colon from its “crawling band” to a “dirty float” by the end of his four-year term. In the meantime, he’s evaluating whether to buy and sell dollars more frequently to ease currency fluctuations fueled by global market swings.

The band ranged from 500 to 634.25 yesterday, according to the central bank’s website.

Costa Rica's Vice-President, Luis Liberman, the founder of the Interfin Bank and former head of the Bank of Nova Scotia in Costa Rica (Interfin was sold to Scoita), said before taking office on May 8 the central bank should “intervene” in the currency market to curtail volatility that has cut profits for exporters.

The currency is benefiting from the so-called carry trade, in which investors borrow in nations with low interest rates to buy higher-yielding assets, Liberman said.

“They want to reduce the volatility by intervening in the middle of the trading band,” said Boris Segura, a Latin America economist at RBS Securities Inc. in Stamford, Connecticut. He was an adviser to Bolaños in 1995, during his first term as the bank’s president.

The central bank is seeking to introduce a forwards market by next month that would allow exporters to lock in exchange rates, Bolaños said.

Costa Rica may need to “tighten” monetary policy to slow inflation that may exceed the central bank’s target range of 4 percent to 6 percent for 2010, the International Monetary Fund said June 1 in a review of the country’s performance under a 15- month, $735 million emergency credit line.

Bolaños said he has no immediate plans to revise the inflation target.

The central bank may increase its 2010 growth forecast to more than 4 percent next month, up from 3.2 percent, he said.

Costa Rica’s us$29.4 billion economy will grow 3.8 percent this year, the second-fastest in Central America after Panama’s estimated 5 percent expansion, the IMF said in a statement June 9. Gross domestic product shrank 1.1 percent in 2009.

 







 
 
 
 
 

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