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Nicaragua: Chaos As A Strategy
By Alfredo G. Pierrat (*)

MANAGUA, (PL) - Political forces opposed to the Sandinista government have not been able to achieve so far the unity they want to the 2011 elections, but they seem to be working in perfect coordination for making the country chaotic and ungovernable.

Debates on who could be the single candidate representing the opposition in the forthcoming general elections to be held in November next year, in an attempt to defeat the incumbent Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN, by its abbreviation in Spanish), are daily topics on the mass media, but without any result for the time being, in spite of the unifying moves by the church and other political forces.

Meanwhile, those parties a heterogeneous bunch of organizations making up the so-called civil society, work in harmony and cahoots for bringing up chaos and unruliness.

The National Assembly, for instance, where no grouping represented there is holding a majority, has been virtually in a standstill for several months and from January until today, deputies have just passed a bill and a decree.

The phenomenon is not new, since parliamentary boycott for hindering governmental work has been a strategy used by the opposition since shortly after the Sandinista government was inaugurated in January 2007.

Since late 2009, the opposition's aim has been centered around the composition of the Electoral Supreme Council (ESC), which has been accused of organizing supposed frauds paving the way for the FSLN's victory in the general and municipal elections, held in 2006 and 2008 respectively.

But the ESC, Mostly consisting of the magistrates themselves, had never been questioned before, when it organized electoral processes in which Sandinistas were vanquished.

Nicaraguan opposition, which does not seem to be willing to accept political alternation, a principle inherent to the democracy it claims to defend, makes use of all the weapons, while in so doing forgetting ethics over and over, for obstructing the efforts of the government headed by President Daniel Ortega.

However, not only the ESC is the sole objective, but also all the Powers of the State, including, moreover, the Supreme Court of Justice (SCJ), the Republic's General Controllership (RGC), the Bank Superintendence and the Proctorship of Human Rights, which the opposition regards to be managed by the FSLN.

The members of those bodies, who practically stem from all the parties, are chosen by the Parliament for five-year periods and many of them should have been ratified in their posts or removed months ago, but nothing has been done because no consensus has been reached for adding the 56 necessary votes.

In face of this situation and for keeping the State from paralyzing, President Ortega issued last January a decree, whereby magistrates whose periods for which they were elected have come to an end will be kept in their posts until the Assembly ratifies them or remove them.

For enforcing that rule, Daniel Ortega relied on article 201 of the Political Constitution, providing the President of the Republic with that faculty.

In their up-to-now fruitless attempts to have that decree annulled by the Parliament, that the opposition deem unconstitutional, it has repeatedly boycotted the sessions and, as a matter of fact, the Assembly has hardly worked in the last two months.

Meanwhile, the number of magistrates whose period for which they were elected has come to an end is steadily increasing.

Those who remain in their posts, protected by the presidential decree, are just considered breachers of the law by the opposition and prone to be taken to jury, but they argue to be protected by the decree and the Political Constitution itself.

The argument was transferred to the Supreme Court of Justice in mid-April, as two Sandinista magistrates' period expired, but they decided to keep their posts until the Assembly ratifies them or removes them.

The strife among the members of the various parties within this important Power of the State, even led to insults between two of them, as part of a debate constantly fanned by the two nationwide newspapers and other radio and TV mass-media close to the opposition.

On April 16, the SCJ's Constitutional Hall, met with legal majority made up of four Sandinista magistrates, two of them alternate magistrates to the ones whose period in the post had expired, issued a verdict declaring that the presidential decree was attached to the Constitution.

Likewise, it commands the National Assembly to relinquish the proceeding of the draft submitted by the opposition to repeal it.

The opposition seems to have been touched by such decision, and former President Arnoldo Alemán, who has self-proclaimed leader of the opposition parties, reacted at once by condemning Daniel Ortega's "dictatorial behavior", and regarded it a "coup d'etat to the Republic's institutionalization.

The Constitutionalist Liberal Party (CLP) will propound "preventive actions contained in the OAS's Democratic Charter so as to avoid bloodshed or a civil war", in Nicaragua, said Alemán in statements to a Managuan radio station, in a dangerous escalation of attacks against the Sandinista government.

In this war of attrition, uncertainty is evident, above all in Parliament, where there are no signals indicating the reenactment in brief of legislative work, not only for ratifying or electing new magistrates of the State's power, but, most of all, for examining and eventually pass several laws of social benefit still pending.

A parliamentary commission is about to finish the analysis of each candidate proposed by all the parties involved and make the judgements, on which they should talk over while the plenary Assembly states its points.

But for adopting any decision, opposition deputies have to rely on the Sandinistas, who, having 38 curules at the hall, do not hold absolute majority, but the number of its bench's members makes the need of pacts essential.

But a pact with the FSLN in Parliament has a political cost for any opposition party, which may become fateful for its aspirations in the 2011 elections, so that none of them has sent a signal to make stride on that road, at least in public.

Sooner or later, however, that will be the road. Sandinistas have expressed their willingness to negotiate. It just remains to be known what opposition party will give the first step.

(*) The author is Prensa Latina's correspondent in Nicaragua.
 
 
 
 
 

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