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Daniel Ortega would Win Elections in Nicaragua, According to New Poll

Managua -  The Sandinista leader, Daniel Ortega, would win the general election next November 6 and would continue to rule Nicaragua for five more years, according to a new survey.

The consultation, held last Saturday, was conducted by the New Century entity, which issues a monthly diagnostic of how Nicaraguans intend to vote in those elections.

The study included 820 urban and rural areas using the method of the "black box" or a simulated poll in which 3,600 people marked their favourite candidate, in a free and secret way, in a ballot with the names of all presidential candidates.

Some 49.8 percent of respondents were in favor of Ortega, more than the 47.7 percent registered in the previous survey on April 10, while the other four candidates lost points in relation to that period.

Judging from this data, if the elections had been held last Sunday, Daniel Ortega would have won without difficulty, because he surpasses by more than 10 points the rest of the candidates taken together.

According to the pollsters, the poll has an margin of error of 1.7 percent and a reliability of 95 percent, rates that are consistent with internationally accepted standards.



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