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INSIDECOSTARICA.COM
| CENTRAL AMERICA
NEWS |
Tuesday 24 May 2011 |
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Daniel
Ortega
would
Win
Elections
in
Nicaragua,
According
to
New
Poll
Managua
-
The
Sandinista
leader,
Daniel
Ortega,
would
win
the
general
election
next
November
6
and
would
continue
to
rule
Nicaragua
for
five
more
years,
according
to a
new
survey.
The
consultation,
held
last
Saturday,
was
conducted
by
the
New
Century
entity,
which
issues
a
monthly
diagnostic
of
how
Nicaraguans
intend
to
vote
in
those
elections.
The
study
included
820
urban
and
rural
areas
using
the
method
of
the
"black
box"
or a
simulated
poll
in
which
3,600
people
marked
their
favourite
candidate,
in a
free
and
secret
way,
in a
ballot
with
the
names
of
all
presidential
candidates.
Some
49.8
percent
of
respondents
were
in
favor
of
Ortega,
more
than
the
47.7
percent
registered
in
the
previous
survey
on
April
10,
while
the
other
four
candidates
lost
points
in
relation
to
that
period.
Judging
from
this
data,
if
the
elections
had
been
held
last
Sunday,
Daniel
Ortega
would
have
won
without
difficulty,
because
he
surpasses
by
more
than
10
points
the
rest
of
the
candidates
taken
together.
According
to
the
pollsters,
the
poll
has
an
margin
of
error
of
1.7
percent
and
a
reliability
of
95
percent,
rates
that
are
consistent
with
internationally
accepted
standards.
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