But the World Health Organization said
it was too early to tell whether severe
acute respiratory syndrome, which first
appeared only six months ago in China,
will establish a seasonal pattern.
Health and Human Services Secretary
Tommy Thompson, who was in Brussels,
Belgium, to meet European Union officials,
said despite best efforts to contain
severe acute respiratory syndrome, he
expected it to cause deaths in areas
unaffected so far.
"I am not confident at all. ... I
do not think SARS is going to go
away," Thompson said. "Even
though it may level off now, it could come
back in the fall and then you can, I
think, anticipate that you will have
deaths in all the continents."
SARS so far has killed at least 662
people worldwide and infected more than
7,800 - mostly in Asia. The United States
has reported 67 cases to WHO but no
deaths.
Thompson was on his way to WHO's annual
meeting in Geneva, where health chiefs
from around the world have gathered for
the first time since the SARS outbreak
began.
WHO experts said they are optimistic
they can prevent SARS from taking root in
communities and believe there is a chance
they can wipe the virus out completely.
Part of the delay in recognizing SARS
when it emerged in southern China stemmed
from its appearance during the flu season
in November and to its having some of the
same symptoms as influenza, WHO officials
said.
WHO scientists say there is no reason
to believe SARS is more likely to occur
during flu season than at any other time,
but acknowledged such a relationship would
be worrying because hospitals could be
overwhelmed with people who believe they
have SARS but who actually have the flu.
There also is no reason to believe the
flu vaccination will protect against SARS
because the viruses belong to completely
different families, WHO spokesman Iain
Simpson said.
Dr. Davey Koech, director of Kenya's
Medical Research Institute, said there was
a worry that SARS will recur but there was
not enough evidence to make meaningful
forecasts.
"Even if it is brought under
control in the geographical regions where
it first occurred, we know from history
that that may not be the end. Very soon,
you may hear of it popping up in isolated
areas of the world," Koech said.
"There is no cure for it, so if it
does come, there will likely be deaths, of
course."
But Koech cautioned that it was
"far too early" to make
predictions concerning the reoccurrence of
SARS.
"It would be irresponsible for
anyone ... to make such predictions. We
don't know the most conducive
environmental conditions for it to
emerge," he said.
A SARS discussion drew significant
interest Tuesday at the WHO meeting, where
health chiefs from around the world heard
agency experts and fellow health ministers
share their experiences with the new
disease.
Costa Rica asked about evidence
that children might get a milder
infection, while officials from the West
African nation of Togo asked whether
airport screening measures clash with
human rights.
Spain sought information on whether
people infected with the virus can spread
it before showing symptoms, while Nigeria
was concerned about whether cultural or
behavioral factors play a role in SARS
infection.
Israel asked what could be done to calm
anxiety and panic.
WHO's communicable diseases chief, Dr.
David Heymann, said, "The general
public's perception of the risk has been
much greater than the actual risk, despite
clear guidance. Governments have not done
a good job in educating the general public
about this disease."