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 SPECIAL REPORTS: CUBA
Monday 26 May 2003


POLITICS - U.S.:
No New Moves from Bush on Cuba's National Day


Jim Lobe


WASHINGTON, (IPS) - Reflecting deep splits inside his administration and the Cuban-American community over future policy toward Cuba, U.S. President George W. Bush announced no new policy initiatives toward the Caribbean nation on its national day Tuesday.

Instead, Bush met privately with a number of dissidents and family members from the island in the White House and released a short statement expressing his ''hope ... for the Cuban people to soon enjoy the same freedoms and rights that we do''.

Officials said that senior officials, who were still arguing about whether to take any new initiatives just hours before Bush's meeting with the dissidents, could not agree and that the most dramatic step on which there was consensus - the expulsion from the United States of 14 Cuban diplomats - had already been taken.

Political hardliners close to the more radical sectors in the Cuban-American community in Florida and New Jersey had reportedly argued for reducing or cutting off remittances that U.S.-based Cubans can send to their relatives on the island and suspending charter flights used by Cuban-Americans to fly directly to their homeland.

But others argued that such steps would not only play into President Fidel Castro's efforts to stoke anti-U.S. feeling on the island, but also alienate much of their own community, including followers of the increasingly moderate Cuban American National Foundation (CANF).

In addition, congressional sentiment in favour of lifting the ban on travel by U.S. citizens to Cuba remains high, and, while the White House has vowed to veto any legislation that would ease Washington's 43-year-old trade embargo, Bush's advisers concluded it would make little sense to draw attention to the divide now.

The result appears to be an impasse at the policy-making level at a particularly sensitive moment when bilateral ties have plunged to their lowest level in at least a decade.

Much of that is due to what U.S. officials and even non-governmental organisations (NGOs) traditionally more sympathetic to Havana called a major crackdown by the Castro government against dissident Cubans that began as the U.S. invasion of Iraq got underway in mid-March.

Some 75 dissidents were arrested and given prison terms as long as 28 years for subversion, while hijackers of a ferry who tried to flee to the United States were executed by firing squad after a summary trial that rights groups denounced as unfair.

Many analysts here blamed Castro for seeking to take advantage of Washington's invasion to decapitate what they describe as a growing pro-democracy movement energized by the so-called Varela Project, a petition drive led to force elections in Cuba based on a specific provision of its constitution. More than half of those arrested and imprisoned were associated with the Project.

At the same time, some observers here said that Bush contributed to growing concern in Havana about U.S. intentions beginning last May 20, when he announced a series of measures to tighten the embargo in a speech to a staunchly anti-Castro crowd in Miami.

It was also last spring that Undersecretary of State for Arms Control and International Security John Bolton publicly accused Havana of developing biological weapons in what was widely seen as an effort by administration hard-liners to insert Cuba into the ''axis of evil'' - North Korea, Iran and Iraq. Similar accusations were repeated most recently last September.

Late last year, the head of Washington's Interest Section in Havana, James Cason, began a series of high-profile meetings with Cuban dissidents, attending meetings in their homes, offering them the use of his residence for meetings and publicly affirming his support for them - all of which the Cuban government interpreted as direct challenges.

In February, the Treasury Department proposed new rules that would eliminate ''people-to-people'' educational travel to Cuba, while senior U.S. officials began issuing warnings to Havana that any mass exodus from the island would be considered a threat to U.S. national security. At the same time, U.S. consular officials in Havana slowed the approval of visas to Cubans who wanted to emigrate to the United States.

''It is hard not to read these actions by the Bush administration as a deliberate attempt to increase tension between the two countries,'' said Geoff Thale, a Cuba specialist at the Washington Office on Latin America (WOLA) here.

Washington then launched its invasion of Iraq without securing the approval of the United Nations Security Council, an action described by the U.S. ambassador to the Dominican Republic, Hans Hertell, as ''a very good example for Cuba''.

On top of all this came the decision last week to expel the 14 diplomats from the Cuban missions here and at the United Nations in New York City for ''conduct incompatible with their diplomatic duties'', normally a phrase used to refer to spying.

But the 'New York Times' reported several days later that the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), which is responsible for all counter-intelligence activities carried out in the United States, had not made any findings about espionage. It quoted one anonymous FBI official as saying that the expulsions appeared to be a political decision, a comment strenuously denied by the White House.

Most analysts believe the expulsions were designed to ease pressure for stronger action by Cuban-American hard-liners closely associated with Bush's brother, Florida Governor Jeb Bush. They are associated with a split-off from the CANF, the Cuban Liberty Council, and include Representatives Lincoln Diaz-Balart and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, two of Castro's most militant foes in Congress.

But the expulsions left them with virtually nothing practical to offer hard-liners Tuesday, something which clearly disappointed them. ''It's about time some action is taken,'' Ninoska Perez Castellon of the Liberty Council, told the 'Miami Herald'. ''I don't want to hear any more 'Viva Cuba Libre'.''

On Sunday, Ricardo Alarcon, president of the Cuban National Assembly, charged that the U.S. administration was being urged by various hardliners, including Jeb Bush, to invade Cuba. The governor strongly denied ever making that recommendation Monday, but the flap might have been another reason why the White House decided to play down the significance of Tuesday's national day.


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